Political Expert - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

About the role

This role is for one of our clients

Compensation: $150-$250 per hour

We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. Each task asks a practitioner to reason from a fixed evidence cutoff — no hindsight — and document the judgment a strong analyst would have made at that moment.

This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.

Requirements

What you will do

Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff

Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds

Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact

Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard

Who we are looking for

A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst

A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds — not retrospective commentary

Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis

Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance

Backgrounds we look at first: top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU. Brand-name experience is a strong first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement — direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies.

Not a fit

Pure communications, journalism, or academic profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.

Point-in-time discipline

Every task is graded on reasoning from the stated cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.

We consider all qualified applicants without regard to legally protected characteristics and provide reasonable accommodations upon request.

Posting text as published by Weekday AI.

The evidence behind this listing

Workplace

Remote Employer field

Seniority

Not established

Employment type

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Location as listed

United States

Pay and work authorization

Stated pay

Not stated

Visa sponsorship

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Security clearance

Not established

Citizenship

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